Polling Not a ‘Crystal Ball’ Into the Future of the Country

Polling Not a ‘Crystal Ball’ Into the Future of the Country
(L-R) Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison, federal opposition leader Anthony Albanese. Martin Ollman/Getty Images, AAP Image/Lukas Coch
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Political polling, the dominant force behind much of the Australian news cycle—which has ended the careers of four prime ministers over the last decade—should only be a “temperature read” and not the primary driver behind policy, according to a former deputy campaign director for the Australian Labor Party (ALP).

Kosmos Samaras, the now-director of the RedBridge Group based in Melbourne, Victoria, says polling can be “demographically blind” and not consider linguistic and cultural differences—an issue pertinent to many city-based electorates where high numbers of overseas-born individuals reside.

Daniel Y. Teng
Daniel Y. Teng
Writer
Daniel Y. Teng is based in Brisbane, Australia. He focuses on national affairs, including federal politics and Australia-China relations. Got a tip? Contact him at [email protected].
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