A recent poll indicates Conservative Party support is ranked closely behind the Liberals and Bloc Québécois in Quebec—a voter base where the Tories have traditionally lacked strong support.
The Pallas Data poll was commissioned by 338Canada.com, a company founded by Mr. Fournier.
The poll conducted between Aug. 16 and 17 among 1,021 Canadians found the Conservatives leading across all provinces with 39 percent of the vote overall compared to the governing Liberals’ 30 percent approval.
“Poilievre would only need to gain slightly in Ontario, Quebec, and the Atlantic to secure a majority,” he said in an Aug. 21 release announcing the poll results.
During the 2015 election, which saw Justin Trudeau become prime minister with a majority government, the Liberals won Quebec with 35.7 percent of the vote compared to the NDP’s 25.4 percent, the Bloc’s 19.3 percent, and the Conservative’s 16.7 percent.
In the 2019 election, when the Liberals lost their majority, the party won 34.3 percent of the Quebec vote while the Bloc gained 32.4 percent, the Conservatives gained 16 percent, and the NDP gained 10.8 percent.
In the election two years later, the Liberals’ share was down to 33.6 percent of the vote compared to the Bloc’s 32.1 percent, the Conservative Party increased its share to 18.6 percent and NDP support dropped to 9.8 percent.
The poll also found that 47 percent of voters said they would be more likely to vote Liberal if Mr. Trudeau was no longer party leader. There was a slight generational divide in those numbers with 57 percent of voters aged 18 to 34 saying they would support the Liberals if Mr. Trudeau resigned and 52 percent of those aged 35 to 49 saying the same.
