Coalition Trails One Nation in Poll as Farrer By-Election Looms

The Coalition’s vote has fallen in another poll as it fights to retain the seat it has held since 2001.

One Nation Senator Pauline Hanson speaks at Put Australia First Rally in Melbourne, Australia, on Nov. 30, 2025. Asanka Ratnayake/Getty Images

A national poll has strengthened predictions that, despite swapping Sussan Ley for Angus Taylor, the Liberal-National Coalition is in danger of losing the long-held New South Wales regional seat of Farrer in the May 9 by-election.

The contest will be a test of One Nation’s surging popularity across multiple polls and the Liberal Party’s staying power after former leader Sussan Ley’s resignation from Parliament.