Coalition Support Hits Historic Low Amid One Nation Rise

The latest Newspoll showed support for the Coalition dropped to 17 percent, just four percentage points ahead of the Greens.

Leader of the Opposition Angus Taylor speaks to the media at Parliament House in Canberra, Australia, on March 10, 2026. Hilary Wardhaugh/Getty Images

A new poll shows the Coalition has hit a historic low among voters, with support at 17 percent—just four percentage points ahead of the Greens.

The Newspoll, published by The Australian newspaper, showed support for Labor grew from 30 to 33 percent, while One Nation’s popularity dipped from 31 to 29 percent.

The polling surveyed 1,235 people from June 22 to 25.

Regarding the preferred prime minister, support for Prime Minister Anthony Albanese stood at 49 percent, followed by One Nation Leader Pauline Hanson on 31 percent and Coalition Leader Angus Taylor on 20 percent.

In that poll, 38 percent of One Nation supporters said they chose the party because “they understand people like me.”

Another federal poll by RedBridge Group/Accent Research also showed Labor leading the primary vote, although the contest was close, with Labor on 30 percent and One Nation on 29 percent.

The Coalition polled 18 percent, just four percentage points ahead of the Greens on 14 percent.

One Nation Rising Over Time, Labor, Coalition Down

According to the Poll Bludger, which aggregates and tracks various polls over time, One Nation is still leading the way in overall support growth, with a 23.7 percent increase in support since the last federal election in May 2025.

Over the same period, support for Labor fell by 6.4 percentage points, while support for the Coalition dropped by 13.1 percentage points.

The broader trend shows One Nation trending upwards despite occasional dips, while Labor has steadily declined and the Coalition has fallen sharply.

Political analyst Kevin Bonham said support for Taylor had fallen faster than for any other Coalition opposition leader except Alexander Downer, who led the party from 1994 to 1995.

“Taylor is the second fastest new opposition leader to reach a (net satisfaction) of -20 or worse, beating Sussan Ley but slower than Alexander Downer,” he said on X.

Speaking to Sydney’s Radio 2GB, Taylor appeared unrattled by the results.

“The poll that matters always at the end of the day is the election and obviously that’s a long way off,” he said.

“We do know that we’ve got some real work to do to rebuild trust with the Australian people and that takes time, it takes discipline, it takes hard work and we need to keep doing that.”

Senior Liberal frontbencher Melissa McIntosh said she believed it was time for her party to rebrand.

“Some people think that we’re stuck in the past and our policies need to resonate with Australia of today and the future,” she told Sky News Australia.

“So, I think it'd be a really good time for us to revisit our values, what we stand for and the way we project ourselves to Australians.”

Meanwhile, Labor Social Services Minister Tanya Plibersek said her party “welcomed” the latest polling figures.

“We know that Australians are still feeling the pressure and that’s why we’re determined to make changes that actually make a difference for them,” she told Sunrise program.

“The three opposition parties [One Nation, Liberals, Nationals]—they don’t have real answers, they’ve just got a list of complaints.”