Way-Too-Early Glance at 2024 US Senate Races Gives GOP Clear Path to Take Chamber

Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.V.), here speaking to reporters at the U.S. Capitol in Washington in September 2021, is 77 years old and pondering retirement rather than seeking a third term in West Virginia in 2024, a state Republicans otherwise dominate. Win McNamee/Getty Images

With the first United States’ 2024 presidential primary slated for South Carolina on Feb. 3, elections forecasters are already posting way-too-early projections on Congressional races even before candidates in many contests formally launch campaigns.

But when it comes to the U.S. Senate, it’s less prognostication than math in acknowledging Republicans are favored to do what eluded them in 2022 and capture the chamber next cycle.