The national average retail price for gasoline in the United States fell below $4 a gallon on Sunday for the first time since mid-April, as hopes for a possible end to a months-long conflict between Washington and Tehran improve market sentiment.
Trump also noted that the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global trade, would reopen without tolls and the U.S. maritime blockade on Iran would be lifted, writing: “Ships of the world, start your engines. Let the oil flow!”
Neil Shearing, group chief economist at Capital Economics, noted the primary issue for the global economy depends on whether the agreement restores normal energy flows through the strait.
Strong domestic demand and robust exports drew down beleaguered stockpiles, which could place upward pressure on prices without fresh supplies.
Americans have spent about $46 billion more on gasoline since the conflict began, according to GasBuddy head of petroleum analysis Patrick De Haan.
De Haan said that lower prices now hinged on developments in the Strait of Hormuz.
“The real test now shifts to the Strait of Hormuz, where any reopening and resumption of normal oil flows would be the clearest signal that this relief is durable,” he said. “For now, the national average could continue falling, provided there isn’t a drastic reversal and the U.S. and Iran continue moving in a positive direction.”
SEB chief commodities analyst Bjarne Schieldrop said circumstances remain uncertain.
“This is a fragile structure,” Schieldrop said. “It can easily break down. There may be details which cannot be overcome.”
Clearing mines from the Strait and restoring tanker insurance could take weeks despite a formal reopening.
The national average for gasoline remains well above pre-conflict levels, as the Strait of Hormuz, which carries nearly a fifth of global oil trade, was effectively blocked after Iran began targeting ships following the start of hostilities in late February.







