Presidential Race

Trump’s Mid-October Poll Surge Surfaced 2 Weeks Ago in Predictive Markets

Experts question if the former president’s big leads on betting sites reflect how close the race is or if a few multimillion-dollar wagers are skewing the odds.
Trump’s Mid-October Poll Surge Surfaced 2 Weeks Ago in Predictive Markets
(Left) Former President Donald Trump speaks in Las Vegas on Aug. 23, 2024. (Right) Vice President Kamala Harris speaks in Raleigh, N.C., on Aug. 16, 2024. Ian Maule/Getty Images; Grant Baldwin/Getty Images
John Haughey
John Haughey
Reporter
|Updated:
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According to FiveThirtyEight’s Oct. 22 aggregate of opinion polls, Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump are in a tight race—49 percent to 51 percent respectively—for the presidency.

Although presidential race opinion polls have always been close, until recently, Harris has consistently held slight advantages of around 2 percent since she succeeded President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee on July 21.

John Haughey
John Haughey
Reporter
John Haughey is an award-winning Epoch Times reporter who covers U.S. elections, U.S. Congress, energy, defense, and infrastructure. Mr. Haughey has more than 45 years of media experience. You can reach John via email at [email protected]
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