What It Means
The 2.8 percent COLA means that Social Security retirement benefits will increase by around $56 on average, starting in January of next year.While next year’s COLA is slightly higher than the 2.5 percent adjustment that was made for Social Security payments made throughout 2025, it’s still lower than the 3.1 percent average over the last 10 years, said the SSA.
The agency will start notifying Social Security recipients about their adjusted payments in early December through the mail, it said. People who have a personal Social Security account can view the notice online before.
The COLA for next year’s payments are based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers for July, August, and September, issued by the Bureau of Labor Statistics each month. That agency on Friday released its report finding that the annual CPI, a measure of inflation, rose 3.1 percent.
When Payments Will Be Sent
A payment schedule released by the SSA shows that the first adjusted Social Security payments will be sent out on Jan. 2, 2026, to people who started receiving Social Security before May 1997 or people who are getting both Social Security and SSI payments.The newly adjusted SSI payments are due to go out starting on Dec. 31, 2025, said the SSA on Friday. Generally, SSI payments go out on the first of each month that does not fall on a weekend, but Jan. 1, or New Year’s Day, is a federal holiday.
Seniors Groups Issue Warnings
Earlier this week, AARP, formerly the American Association of Retired Persons, said in a survey that the 2026 COLA will likely fall short for a number of retired Americans.Around 22 percent of Americans who are over the age of 50 agreed with a survey statement that a COLA of around 3 percent “for Social Security recipients is enough to keep up with rising prices,” while 77 percent said they disagreed with that statement, according to AARP. That sentiment was consistent across political party affiliations, it added.
According to the survey, around 72 percent of older Americans said that a 5 percent COLA or higher would be sufficient to offset rising prices. About 26 percent, it also found, told AARP that an 8 percent COLA would be necessary to keep up with inflation.
Inflation Rises Slightly
While consumer prices increased 3 percent in September from the previous year, the cost of rent cooled, said the Bureau of Labor Statistics in its report on Friday.On a monthly basis, price increases slowed: Consumer prices rose 0.3 percent in September, down from 0.4 percent the previous month. Core inflation also cooled to 0.2 percent, from 0.3 percent in August, according to the report.
But gas prices jumped 4.1 percent in September from the previous month, a major driver of inflation in the latest CPI report. Grocery prices rose 0.3 percent, less than in August, and are 2.7 percent higher than a year ago, it found.
The smaller increase will likely come as a bit of relief to Federal Reserve officials, who have signaled that they will cut the central bank’s benchmark interest rate at their meeting next week for the second time this year.
The report on the CPI was issued more than a week late because of the government shutdown, which has now lasted more than three weeks. The Trump administration recalled some Labor Department employees to produce the figures because they are used to set the annual COLA for Social Security beneficiaries.







