Final NYT/Siena Poll Shows Harris, Trump Leading in Different Key Battleground States

The poll suggests each candidate has multiple pathways to secure the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election.

(Left) Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump looks on at Christ Chapel in Zebulon, Ga., on Oct. 23, 2024. (Right) Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign event in Greensboro, N.C., on July 11, 2024. Anna Moneymaker, Sean Rayford /Getty Images

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are leading the race in different key swing states two days before the election, according to the final poll released by The New York Times/Siena College on Nov. 3.

The poll, which queried likely voters, found Harris is leading Trump 49–46 percent in Nevada, 48–46 percent in North Carolina, 49–47 percent in Wisconsin, and 48–47 percent in Georgia. Trump leads 49–45 percent in Arizona, while both candidates are tied 48–48 and 47–47 in Pennsylvania and Michigan, respectively.