Presidential Race

Decision Desk’s 1st Election Forecast Gives Trump a 58 Percent Chance of Winning

The model also predicts that Republicans are favored to score a trifecta, also taking the Senate and keeping the House.
Decision Desk’s 1st Election Forecast Gives Trump a 58 Percent Chance of Winning
(Left) President Joe Biden speaks in Wilmington, N.C., on May 2, 2024. (Right) Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Waukesha, Wis., on May 1, 2024. AP Photo
Tom Ozimek
Tom Ozimek
Reporter
|Updated:
0:00

Election reporting service Decision Desk on May 29 released its first forecast for the 2024 presidential election, putting the odds of a win by former President Donald Trump at 58 percent—despite President Joe Biden enjoying an incumbency advantage and bigger war chest.

In order to win the race for the White House, a candidate must secure 270 of the 538 available Electoral College votes. With less than six months to go until the November presidential election, Decision Desk has released its first forecast, which predicts that President Trump will get 282 electoral votes and President Biden will get 256.
Tom Ozimek
Tom Ozimek
Reporter
Tom Ozimek is a senior reporter for The Epoch Times. He has a broad background in journalism, deposit insurance, marketing and communications, and adult education.
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