Trump and Clinton Close in New Swing State Polls

By Denisse Moreno
Denisse Moreno
Denisse Moreno
August 25, 2016 Updated: August 25, 2016

South Carolina

Clinton and Trump are tied at 39 percent in South Carolina in a four-way race. In a two-way vote, Trump leads over Clinton slightly, 45 percent to 43 percent, according to a Feldman Group poll.

The poll was commissioned by the South Carolina Democratic Party (SCDP).

“These results leave no doubt: South Carolina is becoming a legitimate battleground state, following in the footsteps of our Southeastern neighbors Virginia, North Carolina, and Georgia,” SCDP Chair Jaime Harrison said in a statement.

“With a dedicated effort, not only can Hillary Clinton carry South Carolina this fall, but Democrats will be able to compete and win up and down the ballot for decades to come,” he added.

Jason Miller, senior communications advisor for the Trump campaign criticized the poll.

“Paid for by the SC Dem Party. May as well be written in crayon,” he wrote on Twitter.


In swing state Florida, Trump is leading Clinton by 2 points, 43 to 41 percent. Meanwhile, Libertarian Gary Johnson takes 8 percent, and 5 percent are undecided, according to a recent poll by the Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative (FAU BEPI).

Both candidates are struggling with their unfavorable ratings. Trump has a favorable-to-unfavorable rating of 41 percent to 56 percent, while Clinton’s scores a favorable rating of 40 percent compared to 58 percent unfavorable. The poll was conducted from Aug. 19-22.

“The fact that both Mr. Trump and Secretary Clinton are significantly upside down in their favorability ratings could make it difficult for either to move substantially ahead,” said Kevin Wagner, associate professor of political science at FAU.

“Clinton likely got a boost from the fact that Floridians chose experience as the top quality they are looking for in their presidential candidate. But, Floridians also chose dissatisfaction with government as their top issue, which likely favors Mr. Trump,” he added.  

North Carolina

The race is close in battleground state North Carolina, new CNN/ORC polls show. Clinton is leading over Trump, 44 percent to 43 percent. Johnson has 11 percent of the vote and Stein will not appear on the ballot in that state.


In Arizona, a Republican-tilting state, Trump holds a 5-point lead over Clinton, also according to CNN/ORC polls. Trump has 43 percent of support among registered voters in the state, while Clinton has 38 percent. Johnson follows with 12 percent of support and Stein with 4 percent.

New Mexico

In New Mexico, Clinton is leading in a four-way race with 40 percent of support among voters in the state, while Trump garners 31 percent. Johnson received 16 percent, Green Party candidate Jill Stein got 4 percent, and 9 percent of registered voters remain undecided, according to a survey conducted by Public Policy Polling (PPP).

Johnson, who served as governor of New Mexico, leads over Trump among young voters. Twenty percent of those ages 18 to 29 supported Johnson, beating Trump’s 15 percent support. However, Clinton is ahead among young voters with 45 percent of support.

The poll, which was conducted from Aug. 19-21, has changed little from a May survey also by PPP. In May, Clinton had 41 percent of support, while Trump was behind at 33 percent, followed by Johnson at 14 percent.


In Missouri, a red state, Trump is leading over Clinton by only a point, 44 percent to 43 percent, a recent Monmouth University poll conducted from Aug. 19-22 shows. The survey shows 8 percent back Johnson, 1 percent name another candidate, and 5 percent are undecided.


Clinton has a 12-point lead over Trump among likely voters, a Reuters/Ipsos poll shows. The poll, conducted from Aug. 18-22 shows the Democrat with 45 percent of support, while the GOP nominee had 33 percent.

Denisse Moreno
Denisse Moreno