The Value of a Queuing-Up Strategy as Canada Reopens

The Value of a Queuing-Up Strategy as Canada Reopens
People walk along Sainte-Catherine Street in Montreal as many non-essential businesses are allowed to re-open, on May 25, 2020. (The Canadian Press/Ryan Remiorz)
Rodney A. Clifton
5/26/2020
Updated:
5/26/2020
Commentary

No doubt many senior citizens will remember drinking from school water fountains long before students carried water bottles. When the school day began, elementary students would rush to get a drink before class, and the other children would queue up in an orderly line.

Learning about queuing culture was a major lesson for students in elementary school. There were, of course, different queues for different school activities. The big boy who pushed others out of the way at the fountain couldn’t push his weight around in English class because a tall gangly girl with braces would be first, followed by three or four other girls. Neither could he dominate the math class because two nerdy boys with pimples were at the top.

Mastering the rules for queuing was a necessary lesson for young students, and it definitely helped children become mature adults.

The adult world is full of queues, such as waiting for a stop light to change, making an appointment at a dental office, or lining up at the checkout in a grocery store, and people generally know the rules that must be followed.

But how can we use queuing to good advantage during the COVID-19 pandemic?

Over the last two months, the prime minister, provincial premiers, and health officials made it clear that Canadians should stay home, physically isolating themselves from others for an untold length of time. As a result, many Canadians have lost control over their lives. In fact, increasingly more people are feeling helpless and demoralized because they can’t control where they go and who they see.

Social psychologists have shown that humans find the loss of personal control is almost impossible to endure, especially when it is forced. But in attempting to deal with the pandemic, government officials have created rules that run counter to our nature, undermining the freedom that we as Canadians value.

No wonder the force of the police and the threat of large fines have been needed to make people comply.

Now, many provinces are beginning to emerge from months of lockdown and some non-essential businesses are re-opening. That, along with the arrival of warmer weather, means people will be tempted to break quarantine rules and do things that challenge the state’s authority.

In this light, why not implement a queuing strategy, something that everyone learned in elementary school, to better manage the process of Canadians re-entering mainstream society?

Within a month of imposing the quarantine, officials knew that some people were at much higher risk than others. People under 20, for example, had a very low risk of getting sick, people between 20 and 65 had a risk that was about the same as getting the yearly flu, while the elderly had a greatly increased risk. Officials also knew that no matter what they did, some people in all age groups would die.

But even knowing this information, officials still demanded that everyone except those providing essential services be quarantined. Quarantining the nation, they said, would flatten the curve.

And so, the curve has been flattened. What’s next?

In fact, the beginning of a pandemic is not the only time that the curve needs to be flattened; it also needs to be flattened when people begin rejoining society.

If the COVID-19 virus has disappeared by the time people start reacting against the imposed rules, then the curve will remain flat. But if the virus is still here, then a large number of people could become infected and quickly overload the health-care system.

Surprisingly, our government officials seem to have no plan for re-starting the society except for allowing some business and services to re-open while urging people to continue practicing physical distancing. But the time has come for government officials to focus on helping old and vulnerable people re-integrate into mainstream society.

To do this, they should ask people, especially seniors and those with compromised immune systems, to choose a time for their own re-entry. This step would give Canadians a much-needed sense of control. In addition, it would give officials a way of managing the re-entry process.

Social psychologists know that some people would choose to re-enter within a month or two, while others would choose to wait for five or six months. People are far more likely to act appropriately when they are given real choices than when the government forces them to comply with seemingly unreasonable demands.

Having a queuing-up strategy is a simple and effective way of allowing people to control their lives while easing them back into society. The first couple of spots would be reserved for young people, those who are not likely to become sick, and by people who provide required services.

The remaining spots, say from 3 to 10, would be reserved for people over 65 and those with compromised immune systems. Some people would choose spot 3 and others would choose spot 7. Health officials would help manage the queuing so that vulnerable people were not amassed in one or two positions.

As this plan unfolds, government and health officials would receive information about the way the virus is affecting the people who have already re-entered society. Officials would use this information to manage the process for the people who are still waiting in line, speeding up or slowing down the re-entry rate so the health-care system didn’t become over-burdened.

Of course, some people would be become sick, and some would die. But this plan would give both officials and citizens time to prepare. At present, Canadians can’t prepare because they don’t know when, or at what rate, people will be re-entering society.

The way the lockdown policy is unfolding now, some people seem to think that if they didn’t get the virus at the beginning of the pandemic, they will never get it. Others seem to think that they should remain quarantined till a vaccine is discovered.

Neither of these options is reasonable.

The plan outlined here would help keep the curve flattened by letting Canadians decide for themselves when they re-enter society, with health officials managing the re-entry process.

As spring warms into summer and restrictions continue to be lifted, more people will be re-entering society. If the re-entry process is not managed and too many vulnerable people re-enter at the same time, the health-care system could easily become overloaded.

Unfortunately, our government and health officials have not yet told us how they will manage this critical re-entry process. They seem to have only planned on shutting down Canadian society. That is unfortunate.

Hopefully, officials will devise a better plan before the next pandemic occurs. They might even seek the advice of a social psychologist or two to help them take human nature into consideration.

Rodney A. Clifton is a professor emeritus at the University of Manitoba and a senior fellow at the Frontier Centre for Public Policy. His most recent book, edited with Mark DeWolf, is From Truth Comes Reconciliation: An Assessment of the Truth and Reconciliation Commission Report (Winnipeg, MB, Frontier Centre for Public Policy, 2020). ([email protected]).
Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.