A new poll shows that when Americans elect their new members of Congress in 2018, politicians who have opposed President Donald Trump’s policies may find themselves in tough races.
The poll of 1,000 likely voters, released Sept. 7 by the Center for Security Policy and the Eagle Forum, shows that Democrat and Republican voters were in close agreement on many key issues—and that Democrat leaders may have more to worry about in the coming elections.
On the issue of former President Barack Obama’s health care plan, the majority of Republicans and Independents—64 percent and 57 percent, respectively—opposed “bailing out the health insurance companies without repealing Obamacare.” Democrats were more evenly divided: 39 percent of Democrats said they would not reelect their members of Congress who agreed to bail out companies without repealing the plan, while 41 percent said they would.
There were similar results for members of Congress who “refuse to repeal Obamacare mandates and taxes to reduce the cost of health care.”
Only 51 percent of Democrats said they would reelect their members of Congress who refused to repeal the Obamacare mandates, while only 26 percent of Republicans and 30 percent of Independents said they would reelect their members.
The results are striking for members of Congress who support abortions through Planned Parenthood, refuse to fund the Mexico border wall, refuse to defund National Public Radio, and refuse to repeal Obamacare.
Among voters, 67 percent of Republicans and 45 percent of Independents said they would not reelect members of Congress who went against Trump’s policies on these issues. Among Democrats, 54 percent said they would reelect their members of Congress.
There were similar results for voters who support Trump’s policies on “more careful vetting” of immigrants, particularly those from areas with a strong terrorist presence. Only 51 percent of Democrats said they would reelect officials who failed to support the policy.
When it came to Trump’s decision to end Obama’s policy on transgender individuals in the U.S. military—including recruiting transgender people and paying for their hormone treatments and sex change surgeries, as well as their salaries and benefits while they’re unable to serve—many voters also suggested they would want new members of Congress.
The majority of Republicans and Independents—69 percent and 51 percent, respectively—showed they would not reelect a member of Congress who supported the Obama policy. Democrats were again divided almost evenly: 37 percent would not reelect their members of Congress, while 39 percent would.
When asked whether they would reelect their member of Congress if he or she had “increased the debt ceiling to spend more money the government doesn’t have, without any new constraints on future spending,” 66 percent of Republicans said they would not, 56 percent of Democrats said they would not, and 65 percent of independents said they would not.
Overall, the poll shows that Republican members of Congress who have gone against Trump’s policies may find themselves in tough races if challenged. And even among Democrats, close to half of voters may have different views from their leaders.