The year 2020 was supposed to see the end of poverty in China, the year that concluded the 13th Five Year Social and Economic Development Initiative, and the year the country steps into the second phase of the “Three-Step Development of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics” in economic, military and rural areas.
It was supposed to be a year for Chinese leader Xi Jinping and his comrades to laud their significance and success in China. The COVID-19 pandemic has, however, put both Xi and the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in a serious crisis.
Xi and the CCP are indeed tied together in a shared destiny of facing power struggle within the Party, social unrest in the nation, and pressure from the international community.
Can we expect Xi and the CCP to change? No, they are still taking the same old path with the same mentality.
On the one hand, the CCP continues to proclaim that progress has been “better than expected” as reported by the Politburo on July 30.
On the other hand, the CCP continues to act tough.
The suppression of ethnic groups continues. The construction of concentration camps continues in Xinjiang, where at least one million Uyghurs are detained. Authorities in Inner Mongolia have recently mandated that schools teach in Mandarin Chinese by forcibly cancelling Mongolian language instruction. In the past, this policy was also used with ethnic Koreans and in Tibet.
High-tech surveillance and wide grid management are imposed on the general public in China. Grid management is a system recently adapted by Beijing to monitor and control individual residents.
Suppression of political dissidents continues, whether they be intellectuals, such as Xu Zhangrun, a professor of Jurisprudence and Constitutional Law at Tsinghua University in Beijing; or second generation “red princlings,” such as Ren Zhiqiang, a former real estate tycoon, and Cai Xia, a retired professor from the CCP’s Central Party School.
Fabricated Economic NumbersWhile 2020 has been a year of unprecedented disasters in China—the deadly CCP virus (novel coronavirus) pandemic, massive flooding, a bad economy, and more—which have all had a direct negative impact on a politically important year for the regime, the CCP nevertheless continues to fabricate economic achievements and growth numbers.
- The second quarter GDP growth for 2020 was 3.2 percent;
- Summer grain output was at a historical high, up 0.9 percent from last year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics;
- All rural residents will have been lifted out of poverty in 2020.
Lie About GDP GrowthChina’s mouthpiece CGTN reported, “The world’s second-largest economy grew by 3.2 percent in April-June from a year earlier, reversing a 6.8 percent decline in the first quarter.”
It’s obvious that it’s hard for the CCP to not brag about its accomplishments and the superiority of the Chinese path. But is the regime’s official data trustworthy?
Lie About Bumper Grain HarvestOn Aug. 22, state-run People’s Daily reported that “China’s summer grain output reached a record high of 142.8 billion kg this year, 1.21 billion kg more than the previous year.” Pan Wenbo, head of the crop production department at the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, said, “The floods in South China did not change the general trend of output increase.”
However, Pan is certainly aware of the fact that the autumn grain harvest accounts for three-quarters of the annual grain production in China. With the severe floods in the south and the Yellow River basin, and the locust infestations, how likely is it there will be a bumper grain harvest this year, as he claimed?
In fact, China became a net importer of agricultural goods in 2008 according to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service Report. The regime’s mouthpiece CGTN also reported that China is the world's largest grain importer, having imported 115 million tons of grain in 2018. And according to Chinese news portal Sina.com, China has become the largest importer of agricultural goods since 2011.
The United States is China’s main food exporter. Under the current U.S.-China cold war situation, the food supply issue has changed from being a weapon used by Beijing to attack Washington, to being the CCP’s weakness. The CCP’s souring relations with both Australia and Canada, also major food exporters, have further increased the risk of China not getting its food imports secured.
In addition, corruption inside China's grain reserve system has led many to suspect that false grain reserve records could amount to a minimum of hundreds of millions of tons of grain.
Lie About Eradicating PovertyIn 2015, while visiting Seattle, Xi Jinping mentioned in a speech: “By China's own standard, we still have over 70 million people living below the poverty line. If measured by the World Bank standard, the number would be more than 200 million.”
In November of the same year, the CCP’s Central Committee and the State Council adopted the decision of “Winning the Fight Against Poverty,” which charted the course for China’ s poverty alleviation campaign through 2020. However, the pandemic, floods, and various other disasters have doomed the “decision.”
However, claiming “victory” in wiping out poverty is still foreseeable by applying the regime's mentality.
It’s quite easy and convenient for the CCP to create an image of victory.
Local officials in Yulin later said someone was “spreading rumors.” But this post is not that far removed from the absurd claims made by the CCP about "lifting all people out of poverty" in China today.
In conclusion, Xi Jinping and the CCP have become trapped in a crisis brought about by the Three-Step Development of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics and by the three big lies. For the CCP, it means that it’s doomed to exit the stage of history.