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What Many Analysts Get Wrong About the Iran War

What Many Analysts Get Wrong About the Iran War
A US Air Force B-1 bomber comes in to land at RAF Fairford in Fairford, England, on March 11, 2026. Christopher Furlong/Getty Images
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Commentary

Two weeks into the conflict in Iran, the dominant narrative in Western commentary is already settling into a familiar frame: a rushed war, spiralling escalation, oil shocks, and the spectre of another Middle Eastern quagmire. It is a well-worn script. It is also analytically flawed.

Bryan Brulotte
Bryan Brulotte
Author
Bryan Brulotte is chairman of Sterling-Trust, a private equity firm based in Ottawa. He holds a doctorate in business and brings over four decades of experience spanning military service and senior roles in the private and public sectors.