A New Cold War—or Just the Recognition of It?Needless to say, it would certainly drive the United States and China further apart than they already are. Some also predict that it would trigger a cold war between the two nations.
As a consequence, China, under the power of the CCP, is now regarded—correctly, I might add—as the primary adversary against freedom, democracy, and the liberal order that the United States faces in the world.
That’s the proper context in which to view the proposed ban on CCP from the United States.
The Upside of the BanAssuming that such an edict (if it ever becomes law) survived all the media protests and sob stories of people being deported, there would be some clear upside to it.
For one, we know that the CCP and the Party leadership is steadfast in their aim to destroy the United States by any and all means necessary. The CCP virus (novel coronavirus) that the Party launched upon the world should disabuse anyone of any doubt on that score.
Secondly, we know that members of the Party are legally bound to serve the CCP. Technological and IP theft are therefore obligatory. Again, there’s no credible argument against this.
On Twitter, for example, 23,000 accounts were suspended for spreading CCP propaganda against Hong Kong and disinformation on the CCP virus. A year earlier, Twitter suspended over 150,000 CCP accounts for anti-American, pro-China tweets.
That’s just the tip of the iceberg.
How Much Would It Help?Would banning the CCP from the United States eradicate much or all of that activity?
Certainly not all of it. But it may stop some or even much of it.
Several factors may impact its effectiveness.
For one, it would only exist in a Trump administration. It’s difficult to imagine a Biden-Harris administration allowing such a policy to remain in place.
Secondly, it remains to be seen how the ban might be enforced and what the penalties might be for violating it. More than likely, the results would be a mixed bag of legal challenges, high profile exits, celebrated discoveries of China’s malfeasance, and xenophobia charges played repeatedly in the mainstream media.
But there would be very important benefits.
First, it would show the world, and most importantly, our allies in Europe and elsewhere how serious we take the CCP’s threat to the world. It may well prompt others to do the same.
No one believes that the CCP is a harmless or even neutral player in the world.
Third, it may make life for the CCP in China more difficult. The CCP already spends more money protecting itself from the people over which it rules, than its entire external defense budget.
CCP ReactionThe CCP’s reaction to such a proposed ban would likely be multi-faceted.
For instance, would they expel American businesses and students?
Probably. Overnight, American businesses would be hustling for new offshore factory locations, or may even move all operations stateside.
Would the CCP pullback from its aggression against Hong Kong and threats against Taiwan?
Not likely. In fact, both would probably continue if not increase in intensity.
But many other reactions and responses from the CCP would certainly take place.
For instance, would Beijing potentially seek to de-legitimize the dollar as a global reserve currency by dumping its U.S. Treasury bond holdings?
Would the CCP seek to isolate the United States on the world stage, even as they expand their efforts to undermine the free nations of the world?
Could the CCP leadership decide to launch a new strain of coronavirus on the world?
That’s possible as well.
Given all these possible responses, should the United States ban the CCP from America?