Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has long been considered by many to be one of the greatest political minds in our lifetime. In 1994, he and Dick Armey were the masterminds behind the Contract with America. The contract was drafted by Armey and Gingrich with the goal of promising the American people a legislative agenda that spelled out exactly what the Republicans were committing to implement if they became the majority party. It was genius and demonstrated that the authors, at least, understood the concerns of the American people.
I asked the former Speaker how it was that he has so successfully understood the mindset of Americans. He told me that it was his commitment to studying history.
“I’m a historian so I try to take things and put them into context of other times and other places," he said. "I really believe in Lincoln’s formula: ‘A government of the people, by the people, for the people.’ That means you have to spend a lot of time every day listening to the American people.”
After all, in part, the Contract with America borrowed text from President Ronald Reagan’s 1985 State of the Union address that resonated with so many at the time. The contract was a master stroke and the key to the first GOP House in 40 years.
“We the people” are currently suffering today: the economy, crime, a weak border, fentanyl poisoning, to name a few concerns. And since all these issues reach into the lives of all Americans, and because President Joe Biden has failed to address them in any meaningful way, it has resulted in very few Democrats seeking Biden’s support for the midterms.
On that topic, Gingrich told me that “President Biden has become so unpopular that as a practical matter most candidates don’t want him near them. One of the most effective things Republicans can do is tie their Democrat opponent to Biden. He basically has to go on vacation to Delaware and try to stay out of the race. The only places he’s going are either extremely Democrat or hopeless.”
When asked about the effectiveness of former President Barack Obama campaigning for the Democrats, he said: “I think Obama is kind of a voice out of the past. I don’t know that he is very effective. He might marginally increase turnout among Democratic partisans. He’s not going to reach out and convince anybody who is an independent or who is unhappy about high prices and unhappy about the border or crime or the radicalism in the schools.”
Gingrich believes that “the Democrat problem is that they really are who they are and that their record really is what it is. And people now know it.”
He went on to talk about how surprised he was at the amount of damage the Democrats were able to accomplish in just two short years.
“I’m really amazed, and if you had asked me in January, February, or March, after Biden first took over, could they do this much damage this quickly, I would have said I don’t think so," he said. "I think they are both more radical and frankly dumber. The combination of the two is just devastating. Whether it is Afghanistan, or it’s the price of gasoline, or the growing shortage of diesel fuel—you look around and you can’t imagine how many things they are doing wrong.”
Comments on Particular RacesThe Speaker weighed in on a few races. He told me that the gubernatorial races for him have been the most fascinating to watch.
I asked him if any race or candidate surprised him.
Newt Gingrich Mid-Term PredictionsFinally, the Speaker gave his predictions on the outcome of the House and Senate races.
The House Races:Somewhere between +20 and +60.
The Senate Races:Somewhere between +2 and +7, depending on how big the wave.
The most likely number probably 4 or 5.