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Market Concerns About the US Economy May Be Exaggerated

Market Concerns About the US Economy May Be Exaggerated
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on March 28, 2025. Spencer Platt/Getty Images
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Commentary
A correction in equity markets tends to generate an immediate negative reaction from citizens, citing political headlines about tariffs and trade as the reasons for equity volatility. However, if the market were scared about the U.S. economy, German and Japanese sovereign bonds would not have declined. Furthermore, as of the writing of this article, 493 stocks in the S&P 500 are flat in the first quarter despite having reached all-time highs in 2024 and despite all the negative headlines of 2025. The Bloomberg US Large Cap Index, excluding the Magnificent Seven, is flat year-to-date.
Daniel Lacalle
Daniel Lacalle
Author
Daniel Lacalle, Ph.D., is chief economist at hedge fund Tressis and author of the bestselling books “Freedom or Equality” (2020), “Escape from the Central Bank Trap” (2017), “The Energy World Is Flat”​ (2015), and “Life in the Financial Markets.”