Commentary
The professional forecasters were right: inflation remained elevated in February. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI), which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, grew at an annualized rate of 4.0 percent in February 2025, down from 4.1 percent in the prior month. PCEPI inflation has averaged 3.1 percent over the last six months and 2.5 percent over the last twelve months.
