As do California politicians, such as Gov. Gavin Newsom, it shows California as if it were a separate country. But let’s add up the total MMTCO2e for all 50 Polluters—48 countries, the 27 member states of the the European Union, and California. For some reason the study didn’t do that. (Note: I have subtracted California from the U.S. number, which for the 49 remaining states comes to: 4,276.5 MMTCO2e).
- Of the 34,178.4 MMTCO2e total, California’s comes to 303.4, or just 0.89 percent. Even if that 303.4 Golden State MMTCO2e were eliminated entirely, it wouldn’t reduce global carbon emissions by even 1 percent.
- Of Communist China’s world-leading total of 10,841.5 MMTCO2e, California’s 303.4 is just 2.8 percent. Again, if California’s 303.4 MMTCO2e were whooshed away entirely, that would pale compared to the PRC’s world-leading total.
Carping About California
The above data, for consistency, are for 2020, the COVID-19 year when the state, national and global economies were locked down for much of the year. The index takes that into account. But instead of pointing out the Golden State’s paltry contribution to global CO2, its main focus carps about the state’s failure to meet unrealistic CO2 reduction goals:“The report finds total greenhouse gas emissions rebounded between 2020 and 2021, jumping by 3.4 percent to 381.3 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MMTCO2e) in 2021. This increase followed an 8.8 percent drop in emissions in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. ...
“To meet the 2030 target of nearly 260 MMTCO2e, California would need to triple the rate at which it has been cutting emissions since 2010—going from the actual average annual reduction of about 1.5 percent a year to about 4.4 percent a year.”
The California hoped-for drop from 303.4 MMTCO2e in 2020 to 260 MMTCO2e in 2030 would be a reduction of just 43.4 MMTCO2e. Again using the 2020 global number of 34,178.4 MMTCO2e, California’s reduction of 43.4 MMTCO2e would be just 0.13 percent of the total. Worse, by 2030 the global total certainly will be much larger than 34,178.4 MMTCO2e.
The index enthuses: “Within the transportation sector, new light-duty electric vehicle sales in all classes rose by 61.7 percent in 2022 compared to the previous year and California met the 2025 goal of 1.5 million zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) on-road two years early in April 2023.”
And: “Growth in the amount of renewable energy being generated in California has slowed considerably since 2018—it increased by only 2.2 percent in absolute terms (6.6% in relative terms) to 35.8 percent of California’s total power mix (imports and in-state, but excluding large hydro) from 2021 to 2022. To meet the 2026 goal of 50 percent of generation from RPS-eligible renewable sources, California’s share of electricity generation from renewables would need to increase by 8.7 percent each year from 2022 to 2026, revised upward from 8.3 percent previously.”
AB 32 Farce
Here’s what really matters: The state’s MMTCO2e reduction policy was set forth 18 years ago in Assembly Bill 32, the Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006, signed into law with great fanfare by Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger. It guaranteed, “The program established by this division will continue this tradition of environmental leadership by placing California at the forefront of national and international efforts to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases ... action taken by California to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases will have far-reaching effects by encouraging other states, the federal government, and other countries to act.”As the chart above shows, that just isn’t happening. The whole developing world wants the prosperity America has—and that means burning fossil fuels to get it.
China Is a ‘Developing’ Polluter?
The California Green Innovation Index also does not take into account another new study, this one from the free-market Competitive Enterprise Institute. It’s by Ben Lieberman and came out on March 13 and is titled, “Forcing the UN’s Hand on China: Ending the CCP’s preferential treatment on environmental treaties.”It found, “Most United Nations (UN) environmental treaties are a bad deal for America that are made worse by classifying China as a developing nation and thus handing it relatively lenient treatment. Doing so gives China a competitive advantage over the US and other developed nation signatories that must contend with more challenging treaty obligations. ...
“China is now the world’s second largest economy and largest exporter. The idea of holding it to the same standards as the US and other developed nations has rapidly gained popularity in Congress. Since the Kigali Amendment vote, legislation extending the China reclassification provisions to all treaties was enacted as part of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024 (NDAA). Most significantly, this would include the 1992 UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
“Such legislation is a welcome first step, but merely asking the UN to change China’s status is insufficient. Congress also needs to make sure that there are concrete consequences under these treaties until the change is made.” The study provides numerous details on what’s going on, and what exactly to do.
“As I have written, ‘Countries reducing their wealth and prosperity isn’t going to help their citizens or put the world in a better position to address any environmental concerns. After all, the wealthiest nations have the best environmental records and their citizens have the means and ability to innovate and develop real solutions to genuine problems.’
CO2 Obsession Only Helps Communist China
So, even as Communist China is given every reason to continue polluting, California is unreasonably harming its own industries and people.California’s actions hurt us in two ways. First by crippling our industries so they can’t compete, helping Chinese companies. Second by driving our own companies out of California, with its much lower CO2 levels, to other states and countries where limitations are less strict.
Nobody wants to go back the 1960s-era smog that hung over the Los Angeles and choked everyone, as shown in “Dragnet” and other TV shows of that era. But at some point the returns from reducing CO2 diminish so much they become negligible.
Indeed, excessive anti-CO2 actions even can turn negative, especially when they encourage businesses to flee Chino to China and set up shop with fewer pollution controls of all types.
No man is an island, wrote poet John Donne. Neither is California.
