Commentary
The prospect of a high-risk war by communist China against Taiwan in 2024 rose substantially on May 30, even though all military-political metrics argue against the chances of success for Beijing in such a conflict.
An outdoor screen shows a news coverage of China's military drills around Taiwan, in Beijing on May 23, 2024. China launched on May 23 what it called "Joint Sword-2024A" exercises, surrounding Taiwan with warplanes and navy ships and vowing "stern punishment" of separatist forces on the island. Jade Gao/AFP via Getty Images
Gregory Copley
Author
Gregory Copley is president of the Washington-based International Strategic Studies Association and editor-in-chief of the “Defense & Foreign Affairs” series of publications. Born in Australia, Copley is an entrepreneur, writer, government adviser, defense publication editor, and Member of the Order of Australia. His latest and 37th book is “The Noble State: Governance Options in an Ignoble Era.”
