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Data Cannot Explain by Itself Without a Theory

Data Cannot Explain by Itself Without a Theory
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Commentary

We often hear from central bank officials that their decisions regarding the interest rate policy is determined by the state of economic conditions as depicted by economic indicators. Policymakers are of the view that, in order to ascertain the state of economic conditions, they require the most recent information on some key economic data such as the gross domestic product (GDP). Thus, an increase in the GDP growth rate is seen as economic growth. A weakening in the growth rate of GDP raises the likelihood that the officials will lower the policy interest rate.

Frank Shostak
Frank Shostak
Author
Frank Shostak, Ph.D., is an associated scholar of the Mises Institute. His consulting firm, Applied Austrian School Economics, provides in-depth assessments and reports of financial markets and global economies. He has taught at the University of Pretoria and the Graduate Business School at Witwatersrand University.