Commentary
War clarifies intentions. It also strips away illusion. The joint American and Israeli campaign against Iran has moved beyond episodic retaliation. This is no longer a contest of shadows fought through proxies and covert disruption. It is direct confrontation with the governing architecture of the Islamic Republic. The central question is not whether nuclear facilities and missile stockpiles can be degraded. They can. The question is what political order follows. There are three plausible outcomes. Only one is likely in the near term.
