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Opinion

5 Future Scenarios for Post-Conflict Iran

5 Future Scenarios for Post-Conflict Iran
Plumes of smoke rise over the skyline following explosions in Tehran, Iran, on March 1, 2026. Majid Saeedi/Getty Images
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Commentary

There likely are more than five scenarios that Iranians could opt for as hostilities unwind, but the following five visions represent the paths Iran could take this year. Will 2026 onward become the Third Islamic Republic, following the first (1979–1989) and the second (1989–2026)? We can only speculate on the outcome of this third evolution, which might or might not be powered by clerics.

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Christian Milord
Christian Milord
Author
Christian Milord, M.S., is an Orange County based educator, mentor, USCG veteran, and writer. His topics of interest include culture, economics, education, domestic policy, foreign policy, and military issues.