The Progressive Conservative government postponed delivering a full fiscal plan earlier this year, citing the economic uncertainty caused by the global health crisis.
The fiscal update it gave instead in March included $17 billion in COVID-19 relief, a projection that was later revised to $30 billion by the end of 2020-2021.
The province also initially predicted a deficit of $20.5 billion, which was later raised to $38.5 billion in light of the additional spending.
The province has already said Thursday’s budget will include details of the new standard for long-term care announced earlier this week, which would see nursing home residents receive an average of four hours of daily direct care.
Finance Minister Rod Phillips has said the fiscal blueprint will provide a multi-year outlook that will build on the measures presented in the spring.
“As we all know, COVID-19 has created an unprecedented level of risk to the global economy. So having a well thought out plan is more important than ever,” he said earlier this week.
“The next phase of Ontario’s action plan will make available every necessary resource to continue to protect people’s health going forward, and it will expand the support our government is providing to those still facing financial hardships due to the pandemic.”
Premier Doug Ford also vowed last month to spend $9 billion in program spending that has so far not been allocated, after the unspent funding was flagged by the province’s fiscal watchdog.
In its report, the Financial Accountability Office noted the money could also be used to bring down what it projects will be a $37.2 billion deficit for 2020-2021.
The watchdog said at the time that the reopening of businesses over the summer had led it to improve its financial outlook for Ontario, with its latest projections showing the province’s real gross domestic product will decline by 6.8 percent this year, rather than the 9 percent it had forecast earlier in the year.
But it said even the improved prediction represents the largest annual decline on record, and warned any future recovery would be hampered if further lockdowns are implemented.
The Ford government has also said it is abandoning its plan to balance the books by 2023-2024, in light of the unprecedented financial demands of the pandemic.
The premier said last month that returning to balance will take place over “a number of years” and be done thoughtfully.
“We’re going to make sure the No. 1 priority is to get companies back on their feet, get families back on their feet,” Ford said at the time.
By Paola Loriggio