Oil Drops as Coronavirus Outbreak Saps Chinese Demand

February 10, 2020 Updated: February 10, 2020
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Oil prices fell on Monday as the fallout from the coronavirus outbreak continues to sap Chinese demand for energy.

As of 11:30 EST, U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures fell 0.85 percent to $49.97 per barrel, while Brent Crude futures dropped by 1.21 percent to $53.78 per barrel.

“The concern remains that the wider markets have yet to reflect the full impact of the disruption,” Saxo Bank commodity strategist Ole Hansen told Reuters.

“With China being the world’s most dominant consumer of raw materials, the impact continues to be felt strongly across key commodities and the world is facing the biggest demand shock since the 2009 global financial crisis.”

Oil has dropped more than 20 percent from a peak in January after the spreading virus hit demand in the world’s largest oil importer and fueled concerns of excess supplies.

To alleviate downward pressure on oil prices, a technical committee that advises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, has called for further cuts to oil production.

The group, known as OPEC+, has already been implementing cuts of 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) since January 2019.

The Minister of Energy of Algeria and President of the OPEC Conference in 2020, Mohamed Arkab, said after an extraordinary meeting of the Joint Technical Committee in Vienna last week that the advisory body recommends cutting production by an additional 600,000 bpd until the end of the second quarter.

A press release noted that the committee blamed the coronavirus outbreak for reduced oil demand.

“The coronavirus epidemic is having a negative impact on economic activities, particularly on the transportation, tourism, and industry sectors, particularly in China, and also increasingly in the Asian region and gradually in the world,” Arkab said.

While oil prices have been under strain, safe-haven assets like gold and U.S. Treasuries have rallied on coronavirus fears.

“Gold can be driven higher off of geopolitical uncertainty. It provides growth and positive performance when other assets are selling off,” explained David McAlvany, CEO of the McAlvany Financial Cos., speaking to The Epoch Times. “The benefit of owning gold alongside other more traditional assets is you increase total returns and decrease volatility by having an asset which behaves in a countercyclical trend. Gold acts like insurance.”

Epoch Times Photo

Meanwhile, stocks worldwide have shed more than $1 trillion in value since Jan. 21, when the first case of a coronavirus infection was confirmed in Washington state.

Epoch Times Photo
The MSCI ACWI Index, a global equity index that represents a set of large- and mid-cap stocks across 23 developed and 26 emerging markets. (Reuters)

The virus outbreak comes as China’s economy is already growing at its slowest pace in nearly three decades.

“This is like Chernobyl in a sense,” author and China expert Gordon Chang told The Epoch Times, referring to the nuclear accident that occurred in the Soviet Union in 1986.

If the panic continues until April or May, it will have an “enormous effect” on the Chinese economy this year, he said.

“If this isn’t brought under control quickly, you’ll have factories leaving China,” he added.

“I don’t know where coronavirus goes from here, but the uncertainty factor changes the perception of the marketplace of where you should be putting your money,” McAlvany said, “and you can already see the footprints of dollars moving to safe havens.”

Emel Akan and Reuters contributed to this report.

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