Four Key House Districts to Watch on Election Night: Analysts

Four Key House Districts to Watch on Election Night: Analysts
Wiley Nickel is the Democratic nominee for North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, which analysts see as a key race on election night, suggesting how many other elections will go. He faces Republican Bo Hines. Here Nickel speaks in Raleigh after winning his primary May 17. Photo by Sean Rayford/Getty Images
Dan M. Berger
Updated:

On Nov. 8, every race for the House of Representatives will be in play as the two parties grapple for control of Congress. Republicans are favored, but the big question now is by how much. So some districts will count more than others as bellwethers signal more significant trends at work, political analysts say.

Some key districts are suburban, others exurban, as cities generally trend blue and rural areas trend red. There are some seats left open by retirement or by incumbents forced to move because of redistricting, and thus no candidate has the inherent advantages incumbency provides.