Final LA Times/USC Poll Shows Trump Ahead of Clinton

'Moment of truth'
November 8, 2016 Updated: November 8, 2016

The Los Angeles Times/USC “Daybreak” poll, which has remained an outlier among most polls, reveals that Republican candidate Donald Trump has a 3-point advantage over Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton.

The poll has consistently shown favorable numbers for Trump.

As of the morning of Nov. 8, Election Day, Trump was polled at 46.8 percent to Clinton’s 43.8 percent.

Because the poll has indicated a stronger support for Trump, it has “caused dismay” and “outrage,” the Los Angeles Times wrote.

“That’s caused dismay—even outrage—among some readers, especially Democrats, who have denounced it and often criticized The Times for running it,” the paper wrote. “Tonight, we’ll find out whether it was right. “

The RealClearPolitics average as of Nov. 7 shows Clinton having a 3.2 percent lead over Trump. Most big-name polls—including from the New York Times, ABC, and Reuters—show Clinton leading Trump

But another poll, which has seemingly shown a stronger support for Trump, released its final, Nov. 8 results. The IBD/TIPP poll shows that Trump has a 2-point lead over Clinton, 45 percent to 43 percent.

“As we complete the final days of the tracking poll, we see both Republicans and independents with relatively greater enthusiasm compared to Democrats. The registration advantage Democrats typically have will likely be neutralized by increased enthusiasm by Republicans, which is similar to 2004, when the voters split 37% Democrats and 37% Republican on Election Day,” wrote Raghavan Mayur, President of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, referring to the IBD/TIPP poll.

Mayur added: “We also expect independent turnout to be robust and significantly higher than in recent elections, and Trump has an 8-point advantage over Clinton among these voters.”