Contra Conventional Wisdom, There Is Little Evidence Abortion Hurt Republicans

Abortion-rights activists (R) argue with anti-abortion activists in front of the Supreme Court on June 26, 2022 in Washington, D.C. The Supreme Court's decision in the Dobbs v Jackson Women's Health case overturns the landmark 50-year-old Roe v Wade case, removing a federal right to an abortion. Nathan Howard/Getty Images

Commentary

By any measure, Democrats exceeded expectations this midterm. Though listening to the triumphalism today, you’d think Joe Biden was Hannibal at Cannae. A fractured Republican Party has won the House, which means the agenda portion of Biden’s first term is effectively over (save the executive abuse).