Conference to Chart Burma’s Future Must Learn From Past Mistakes

Within the next couple of months Burma (also known as Myanmar) is expected to convene a conference to chart the course of the country’s future.
Conference to Chart Burma’s Future Must Learn From Past Mistakes
Burma's new President Htin Kyaw (L) and outgoing President Thein Sein (R) during the handover ceremony at the presidential house in Naypyidaw on March 30, 2016. (Nyein Chan Naing/AFP/Getty Images)
5/16/2016
Updated:
6/27/2016

Within the next couple of months, Burma (also known as Myanmar) is expected to convene a conference to chart the course of the country’s future, similar to the conference held in Panglong on the eve of the country’s independence from Britain in 1947.  

With the support of Burma’s State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi, the army, and eight armed groups, hopes are high that this conference will not make the same mistakes made in 1947.

Burma State Counselor and Foreign Minister Aung San Suu Kyi leaves a meeting with newly appointed ministers from the National League of Democracy (NLD) party at the parliament building in Naypyidaw, Burma, on Feb. 25, 2016. (Aung Htet/AFP/Getty Images)
Burma State Counselor and Foreign Minister Aung San Suu Kyi leaves a meeting with newly appointed ministers from the National League of Democracy (NLD) party at the parliament building in Naypyidaw, Burma, on Feb. 25, 2016. (Aung Htet/AFP/Getty Images)

Suu Kyi met with the Joint Monitoring Committee, a body representative of the army and non-state armed groups, on April 27. It was the first meeting of its kind since Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy (NLD) assumed power. The decision to hold a “Panglong-style” conference within two months was probably the most significant development of the meeting.

The NLD leader has publicly voiced her support for holding a Panglong-style conference since she was released from house arrest in November 2010. In a speech she gave at the NLD headquarters two days after her release, she said: “A second Panglong Conference addressing the concerns of the 21st century is needed for national reconciliation.”

As the country prepares for the conference, it needs to reflect on three important lessons learned from the failure of the 1947 Panglong Conference.

Lesson 1: Representation

The Panglong Conference was not attended by representatives of all ethnic nationalities. The Panglong Agreement was signed by representatives of only four groups: the Bamar, Chin, Kachin, and Shan.

Similarly, although eight armed groups signed the National Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) last year, only four ethnic groups (Bamar, Chin, Karen, and Shan) were represented. Three different organizations represented the Karen people—the Karen National Union, Democratic Karen Benevolent Army, and Karen Peace Council.

The conference must ensure that all ethnic groups are represented, particularly the approximately two dozen armed groups that did not, or were not allowed to, sign the NCA. No ethnic group should be given a special status or preferential treatment, at least in the early stages of political dialogue.

Burma's Parliament in the capital Naypyidaw, Burma, on March 1, 2013. (<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Myanmar-Lower-House-Parliament.jpg">Htoo Tay Zar, CC BY-SA</a>)
Burma's Parliament in the capital Naypyidaw, Burma, on March 1, 2013. (Htoo Tay Zar, CC BY-SA)

Lesson 2: Support and Cooperation

The 14 administrative divisions of Burma (states and regions). (<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Burma_en.png">Aotearoa, CC BY-SA</a>)
The 14 administrative divisions of Burma (states and regions). (Aotearoa, CC BY-SA)

The conference must have the support and cooperation of different political stakeholders. The NLD government’s peace initiatives should have the backing of the military and political parties of different ethnicities, including those parties in the opposition.

During the Panglong Conference, then-leader General Aung San gave assurance to the frontier people (now called ethnic minorities) that there would be equality of rights in an independent Burma, but many doubted the sincerity of the Burmese leaders.

The British colonial administration was also concerned that the non-Burmese ethnic groups would not be treated equally in the Union of Burma. To allay the fear and suspicion, Aung San told the frontier leaders, “If Burma receives one kyat, you will also get one kyat.” (Kyat is the currency of Burma.)

Lesson 3: Constitution

The conference should focus on amending the existing constitution or drafting a new one that would guarantee equality of rights for all citizens within the structure of federalism.

One fundamental principle of the Panglong Agreement, which was incorporated in the 1947 constitution, was the acceptance of autonomy for the minority groups in the frontier areas in their internal administration.

The constitution also guaranteed the frontier people the right to secession after 10 years of the formation of the union. However, the assassination of Aung San in July 1947 shattered the hopes of the frontier people.

After the death of Aung San, the Burmese army was against granting autonomy in the frontier areas.

Gen. Aung San signs the Panglong Agreement on Feb. 12, 1947. (<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Panglong_Conference2.jpg">Public Domain</a>)
Gen. Aung San signs the Panglong Agreement on Feb. 12, 1947. (Public Domain)

Instead of respecting and protecting the constitution, the military staged a coup in 1962 and ruled the country, which led to the rise of insurgency movements. The military then suppressed the country’s ethnic minorities.

As Suu Kyi, who is the daughter of Aung San, leads this 21st century Panglong-style conference, there is high hope and expectation that the shortcomings of the Panglong Conference will be addressed.

At the same time, there is also the possibility of another failure should there be lack of support and cooperation from leaders of all major political stakeholders, including the military.

Given the re-emergence of a ray of hope after five decades of despair, the international community should help Burma achieve peace and stability, which will be beneficial for all.

Dr. Nehginpao Kipgen
Dr. Nehginpao Kipgen

Dr. Nehginpao Kipgen is an assistant professor and executive director of the Centre for Southeast Asian Studies at Jindal School of International Affairs, O.P. Jindal Global University. He is the author of “Myanmar: A Political History,“ ”Democratisation of Myanmar,“ and ”Democracy Movement in Myanmar: Problems and Challenges.”