Taiwan

Taiwan Invasion Could Cost China 100,000 Lives: Report

A potential failed invasion could lead to the Chinese military backing a ‘rival civilian leader’ or a political coup, according to the report.
Taiwan Invasion Could Cost China 100,000 Lives: Report
Chinese ships patrol as the People's Liberation Army (PLA) conduct military drills on Pingtan island—the closest point to Taiwan—in eastern Fujian Province, China, on Dec. 30, 2025. Adek Berry/AFP via Getty Images
Frank Fang
Frank Fang
Reporter
|Updated:
0:00
The Chinese communist regime would suffer “massive” losses in a failed conflict over Taiwan, including the deaths of about 100,000 personnel, a Washington-based think tank warned in a report published on Jan. 5.

The German Marshall Fund’s report, titled “If China Attacks Taiwan,” examines the repercussions for China under two scenarios—a “minor conflict” and a “major war”—occurring sometime between 2026 and 2030.

Frank Fang
Frank Fang
Reporter
Frank Fang is a Taiwan-based reporter. He covers U.S., China, and Taiwan news. He holds a master's degree in materials science from Tsinghua University in Taiwan.
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