Hong Kong Projects Fiscal Deficit Amid COVID-19 Outbreak

Hong Kong Projects Fiscal Deficit Amid COVID-19 Outbreak
A makeshift camp set up for COVID-19 patients due to limited space inside is pictured outside the Caritas Medical Centre in Hong Kong on Feb. 18, 2022. Peter Parks/AFP via Getty Images
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Hong Kong government spending will reach an all-time high this fiscal year, putting it into a budget deficit, its financial chief said Wednesday, as the city grapples with its most severe COVID outbreak.

The city of 7.4 million people is experiencing its fifth wave of COVID-19 infections. Daily cases have reached record highs with 8,798 new cases being reported on Thursday.

The government announced mandatory testing for all residents three times in March, as well as a ban on travel from numerous countries, school closures, and restaurant dining restrictions. Stricter rules may be enacted, causing greater harm to businesses and jobs.

“Economic activity, particularly in consumption-related sectors, will continue to be under intense pressure in the short term,” financial secretary Paul Chan said on Wednesday in his annual budget speech delivered via video. 

The city’s record spending of HK$807.3 billion ($103.45 billion) in the fiscal year 2022-2023 will outpace government revenue of HK$715.9 billion, resulting in a deficit in the new fiscal year starting April 1, Chan said.

For the current fiscal year, Hong Kong posted a surplus of HK$18.9 billion; the outcome was large because of higher-than-expected revenue from land sales and taxes levied on property transactions.

“The economic performance in the first quarter is not optimistic,” he said.  

The financial hub’s economic growth will fall to between 2 percent and 3.5 percent in the calendar year 2022 from 6.4 percent last year, Chan predicted, assuming activity recovers in the second part of the year and infections are brought under control. In 2021, the economy recovered from a two-year slowdown caused by the U.S.-China trade war, domestic political upheaval, and the pandemic.