China’s Growth Could Slow to 2 Percent: Economist

A sluggish housing market and fragile social security system make building a strong domestic market ‘very challenging,’ an economics professor said.

Employees work on the production line at the Anhui Jingjiu Silk Co. in Fuyang, Anhui Province, in eastern China, on Oct. 20, 2025. STR/AFP via Getty Images

Amidst its trade war with the United States, China would be lucky if its economy could achieve 2 percent to 3 percent growth over the next few years, according to a former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

“For a long time, it’s been very concentrated on infrastructure and exports, and it seems to be just continuing that,” Kenneth Rogoff said of the Chinese economy.