China ‘Not Likely’ to Invade Taiwan in Fall: Top Taiwan Intelligence Officer

Taiwanese domestically built Indigenous Defense Fighters (IDF) take part in the live-fire, anti-landing Han Kuang military exercise, which simulates an enemy invasion, in Taichung, Taiwan on July 16, 2020. Reuters/Ann Wang

According to a March 24 legislative briefing by Taiwan’s National Security Bureau (NSB) Director-General Chen Ming-tong, China is unlikely to invade Taiwan in the fall of 2022.

In the big picture, the prospect of China’s invading Taiwan in the fall is “not likely,” Chen told lawmakers.