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CCP Regime Facing Instability Ahead of 35th Anniversary of Tiananmen Square Massacre: Insider

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CCP Regime Facing Instability Ahead of 35th Anniversary of Tiananmen Square Massacre: Insider
A police officer stands guard at Tiananmen Square in Beijing on September 29, 2022. Jade Gao / AFP via Getty Images
Jessica Mao
By Jessica Mao and Michael Zhuang
6/3/2024Updated: 6/3/2024

June 4 this year marks the 35th anniversary of the Tiananmen Square Massacre. As this date approaches, instability is intensifying from the grassroots level in China to the higher levels of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and within its military, according to an insider and experts.

Tian Ming (a pseudonym), a person familiar with the Chinese military, recently told The Epoch Times that following Beijing’s announcement of military drills around Taiwan, changes occurred in the Chinese military’s Central Theater Command, with midnight drills becoming more frequent. This was supposed to be resting time, yet the troops began training, and the primary responsibility of the Central Theater Command was to defend Beijing.

Mr. Tian lives in Hebei, China, near a local military base. He said that after Taiwan’s presidential election in January, every household in his area received emergency kits. He believes it indicated that the CCP was preparing for potential conflict, with Beijing being the first target.

However, he does not believe the areas around Beijing are safe for CCP leaders. He thinks internal stability is the main issue, as there seems to be widespread dissatisfaction with Xi within the military establishment.

Since last year, turmoil has persisted within the CCP’s military. China’s Rocket Force, Equipment Development Department, Joint Staff Department of the Central Military Commission, and other branches, including aerospace and defense enterprises, have been purged, with at least a dozen senior officials removed. This included former commanders of the Rocket Force, Gen. Li Yuchao, Gen. Zhou Yaning, and Defense Minister Li Shangfu.

On June 1, Lai Jianping, a former Chinese human rights lawyer and president of the Canada-based Federation for a Democratic China, told The Epoch Times that the anti-Xi sentiments in the military reflect a widespread consensus within the regime. The sentiment is no longer limited to the average Chinese public.

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“Xi Jinping’s selective anti-corruption campaign has led to extensive purges within the party and the military, causing strong backlash at various levels,” he said. “This sentiment reflects a broader desire within the party and military for Xi Jinping’s downfall. Even those who appear loyal to Xi are simply people who have vested interests in the regime. Most officials hope for Xi Jinping’s early demise.”

Emphasis on ‘Security’ and ‘Stability’

On May 28, the CCP held a national public security work conference in Beijing, during which Chinese leader Xi met with police representatives.

In a report published the following day by the CCP’s mouthpiece Xinhua, Chen Wenqing, a member of the CCP’s Politburo and secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission, delivered a speech at the meeting, emphasizing the need to “forge a loyal, clean, and reliable public security force” and stressing the need to “do everything possible to prevent risks, ensure safety, and maintain stability.”

On May 31, Xinhua published another report that mentioned “security” 12 times and “stability” 8 times in its report.

Chen Pokong, a Chinese political commentator based in the United States, said on his YouTube show that the timing of this public security work conference is significant for two reasons. One is the soon-approaching 35th anniversary of June 4, which is a date the CCP loathes. The other is that the CCP will hold its third plenary session in July, which may possibly involve some power reorganization within the leadership. He believes Xi wants to accelerate this process, so there is a need for the conference to ensure control over any potential challenges.

According to Mr. Lai, in recent years, particularly since the implementation of China’s “zero-COVID” policy during the pandemic, the CCP has created countless disasters in the Chinese people’s economic and social lives, with significant public grievances accumulating. This has prompted the CCP to emphasize “security” and “stability.” If stability fails, the CCP’s regime will be under threat. He believes that the public security work conference is essentially about discussing further measures to control the populace tightly, all to preserve the regime.

However, Mr. Lai also thinks these measures are having limited effect.

Medical staff wait to assist a patient at a fever clinic treating COVID-19 patients in Beijing on December 21, 2022. (Kevin Frayer/Getty Images)
Medical staff wait to assist a patient at a fever clinic treating COVID-19 patients in Beijing on December 21, 2022. Kevin Frayer/Getty Images

Continued Political Purge 

The CCP will hold its third plenary session in July. In the lead-up, Xi’s regime has continued its political purges of high-ranking officials.
On May 30, the website of the CCP’s Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Supervisory Commission reported that Gou Zhongwen, deputy director of the National Ethnic Affairs Commission, was under investigation. He served as the director of the General Administration of Sport of China from Oct. 2016 to Aug. 2022, overseeing events such as the PyeongChang Winter Olympics, Tokyo Summer Olympics, and Beijing Winter Olympics.

Mr. Gou was last seen in public on May 22, attending a forum on Xi’s ideology. Before his downfall, several of his former subordinates were under investigation, raising questions about his involvement.

On May 25, the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Supervisory Commission reported that Xu Loushe, deputy director of the State Tobacco Monopoly Administration, was under investigation. He ranked first among deputy directors and had served for ten years, last appearing publicly on May 14.

Recent high-ranking officials who have fallen include Liu Xingtai, vice-chairman of the Hainan Provincial People’s Congress; Wang Hao, vice-chairman of the Jiangsu Provincial Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference; Tang Renjian, Minister of Agriculture and Rural Affairs; and Lou Wenlong, vice president of the Agricultural Bank of China.

Additionally, two senior executives from state-owned enterprises were recently sentenced to death or life imprisonment. Bai Tianhui, former general manager of China Huarong International Holdings Ltd, was sentenced to death, and He Zehua, former deputy director of the State Tobacco Monopoly Administration, was sentenced to life imprisonment.
Xin Ning contributed to this report. 
Jessica Mao is a writer for The Epoch Times with a focus on China-related topics. She began writing for the Chinese-language edition in 2009.
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