Beijing’s Falsified Economic Data Cripple Its Ability to Compete With US: Analysts

China’s real economic output in 2025 likely expanded by less than half of what the regime claimed, according to a new analysis by Rhodium Group.
Beijing’s Falsified Economic Data Cripple Its Ability to Compete With US: Analysts
Customers at a Beijing supermarket on July 9, 2025. Wang Zhao/AFP via Getty Images
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A new analysis estimating China’s real expansion at merely half the claimed rate exposes a statistical void that has blinded the leadership to its fragility, accelerating global isolation and confirming the regime’s inability to rival Washington, experts say.

China’s real economic output in 2025 likely expanded by just 2.5 percent to 3.0 percent, according to a Dec. 22 report by the global consultancy firm Rhodium Group.
Jarvis Lim
Jarvis Lim
Author
Jarvis Lim is a Taiwan-based writer focusing on human rights, U.S.–China relations, China's economic and political influence in Southeast Asia, and cross-strait relations.