There’s an inverse relationship between mortgage bonds and interest rates. When major buyers make purchases of large volumes of mortgage bonds, their yields fall, and when yields fall, mortgage lenders offer lower rates to borrowers.
However, home sale prices are on the uptick. The monthly housing payments would be falling even further were it not for still-rising sale prices, Redfin said.
According to the brokerage, prices are up by 1 percent annually, but the increase is not significant considering the fact that there was a 4 percent to 5 percent uptick at the beginning of 2025.
Based on Redfin’s national metrics data collected from more than 400 U.S. metro areas, the median home sale price is $380,606 as of Jan. 11, with an asking price of $380,825.
“Right now, homes are sitting on the market for several months, and a lot of sellers are cutting their asking price,” said Redfin agent Meme Loggins, based in Portland, Oregon. “Buyers know that’s unlikely to last long, especially with rates coming down. Prospective buyers know competition will probably tick up by springtime, so they’re getting serious about house hunting and getting a deal while they can.”
Builder Sentiment and Mortgage Applications
High home prices and rising construction costs are weighing down builder confidence at the start of the year.“While the upper end of the housing market is holding steady, affordability conditions are taking a toll on the lower and mid-range sectors,” NAHB Chairman Buddy Hughes said. “Buyers are concerned about high home prices and mortgage rates, with downpayments particularly challenging given elevated price to income ratios.”
Furthermore, according to the latest housing market index survey, 40 percent of builders reported cutting prices this month, and the average price reduction was 6 percent in January, up from the 5 percent rate in December, NAHB said.
“December purchase activity for newly built homes continued to run stronger than last year, despite cooling slightly from the prior month,” said Joel Kan, vice president and deputy chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association. “New homes remain a viable option for many homebuyers given that there is a relatively large number of new homes available for sale, which has prompted incentives and price reductions from builders in some markets.”
According to Kan, new home sales in 2026 are forecast to increase gradually, provided that mortgage rates do not expand significantly and home prices remain “muted, given the excess inventory.”







