The Reason That Good Economic News Is Bad for the Market

The Reason That Good Economic News Is Bad for the Market
The New York Stock Exchange in New York on Sept. 27, 2022. Mary Altaffer/AP Photo
Gary Brode
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Commentary 

Many of you may have noticed a recent trend whereby good economic news causes the stock market to fall. Theoretically, higher than expected gross domestic product (GDP), or lower than expected unemployment, would be good for the economy, corporate earnings, and the stock market. During normal times, and over the long run, that’s true. Recently, though, we’ve seen the opposite. So today I’m going to explain why the market has been moving in counterintuitive ways when we get important economic news.

Gary Brode
Gary Brode
Author
Gary Brode has spent three decades in the hedge fund business. Most recently, he was Managing Partner and Senior Portfolio manager for Silver Arrow Investment Management, a concentrated long-only hedge fund with options-based hedging. In 2020, he launched Deep Knowledge Investing, a research firm that works with portfolio managers, RIAs, family offices, and individuals to help them earn higher returns in the equity portion of their portfolios. Mr. Brode’s work has been featured in the Wall Street Journal and Barron’s, and in appearances on CNBC, Bloomberg West, and RealVision.
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