Recession or Stagflation? Oil Prices, Ukraine Conflict Weigh on Growth Prospects

Recession or Stagflation? Oil Prices, Ukraine Conflict Weigh on Growth Prospects
Models of oil barrels and a pump jack are displayed in front of Ukrainian and Russian flag colors in this illustration taken on Feb. 24, 2022. Dado Ruvic/Reuters
Andrew Moran
Updated:

The odds of recession are slowly rising now that crude oil prices are firmly above $110 per barrel, and the Ukraine–Russia military conflict is affecting global financial and commodities markets.

In the past couple of months, stagflation had been the talk of Wall Street as analysts and economists debated the weight of rampant price inflation on growth prospects at home and abroad. But the fallout of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine has exacerbated many of the challenges that already threatened the global economy before the pandemic.

Andrew Moran
Andrew Moran
Author
Andrew Moran has been writing about business, economics, and finance for more than a decade. He is the author of "The War on Cash."
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