Initial public offerings (IPOs) are reaching a fever pitch this week, with Black Rock Coffee Bar, Klarna, Gemini, and Legence launching roadshows, the final step before their shares make their debut on the market.
IPOs serve an essential function for entrepreneurs, venture capitalists, investors, and traders.
For entrepreneurs, IPOs provide a source of low-cost funding to expand their operations, develop new products and distribution systems, and enter new markets.
For venture capitalists, IPOs serve as an “exit mechanism,” allowing them to cash in on their early investments, which have been exchanged for shares of the company.
For traders, IPOs raise the possibility of quick gains if they buy shares at pre-subscription prices—i.e., before they make their debut on the market.
For investors, IPOs enable them to place their bets on young, innovative enterprises that grow at high rates, which ultimately translate into high earnings and high stock prices.
At least that has been the case for long-term investors who once purchased shares of Amazon, Microsoft, and Google when they went public a few decades ago, to mention but a few.
The launch of IPOs is usually a sign of market confidence, as their numbers rise in an up market and decline in a down market, as the stock market data confirms. For instance, 2021, when IPOs reached the highest reading, was an up year for the overall market, while 2008 was a down year.
This IPO launching pattern reflects two factors. One is the method used by underwriters, investment banking companies that help companies go public, to set the price of an IPO. It’s called relative valuation, as it uses financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings, price-to-sales, and price-to-book value, of similar companies to determine the value of the target company.
During up markets, these ratios usually rise, resulting in a high price for the target IPO, rewarding handsomely the venture capitalists that invested funds in the company early on in exchange for shares.
The opposite is the case in down markets, when valuations of related companies decline, resulting in a low valuation for the target company.
Another reason that explains the cyclical nature of the IPO market is investor sentiment, which rises and falls together with the overall market. It’s much easier for an underwriter to pitch a new company to investors in up markets when market liquidity is high and investors have a risk appetite, particularly for high-growth, high-risk companies, than in down markets when liquidity dries up and investors become risk-averse.
While a robust IPO market is a sign of market confidence, it also could be a sign of a market top. For instance, the rise in IPOs for the period 2003–07 preceded the market crash of 2008–09, while the peak IPO reading of 2021 preceded the market correction of 2022.
“IPO hopefuls should expedite their readiness plans to capitalize on a potentially more receptive market,” the report says.







