Economic Expectations Gauge Plunges Signaling a Looming Recession

Over the next six months, it is estimated that fewer American consumers plan on buying homes or big-ticket appliances.
Economic Expectations Gauge Plunges Signaling a Looming Recession
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading in New York City on Jan. 11, 2024. Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty Images
Naveen Athrappully
Updated:
0:00

Three key U.S. economic indicators declined in April, signifying lower confidence among Americans about future business and job conditions as well as suggesting a potential risk of recession.

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index fell for the third straight month in April. The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions, also declined. The Expectations Index, measuring consumers’ short-term outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions, decreased to 66.4. An Expectations Index reading less than 80 often signals a potential recession. “Confidence retreated further in April, reaching its lowest level since July 2022,” said Dana M. Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board.
Naveen Athrappully
Naveen Athrappully
Author
Naveen Athrappully is a news reporter covering business and world events at The Epoch Times.