The national average price for regular gasoline hit $4.16 per gallon on April 9, up eight cents on a weekly basis, and at a level last seen in August 2022.
Gasoline prices have risen as global crude oil prices surged amid the Iran conflict.
“Crude oil prices remain high, even as they’ve fluctuated in recent days following the announcement of a two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran,” the American Automobile Association (AAA) said in an April 9 statement. “The price for a barrel of crude dropped below $100 but then rose again, highlighting the volatility of oil markets and fluidity of geopolitical events.”
Current gas prices are nearly 20 percent higher than the $3.47 per gallon a month back, AAA data show.
In five states, prices have already exceeded $5 per gallon for regular gas—California, Hawaii, Washington, Oregon, and Nevada.
The U.S.-Israel attack on Iran, which lasted for over a month and is currently in a ceasefire agreed upon Tuesday, has rattled energy markets. Brent crude oil futures had ended April 7 at around $109 per barrel, up from roughly $72 on Feb. 27, a day before the United States and Israel launched coordinated strikes against the Iranian regime, kicking off the latest phase of the conflict.
Prices have dropped below the $100 level following the ceasefire agreement, with Brent crude oil futures trading at $96.13 per barrel on Thursday as of 9:40 p.m. ET.
Mines in the Strait
The two-week ceasefire is conditional on Iran ensuring the safe reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil shipping waterway. The Iranian regime has been blocking the strait since the war began, which contributed to global oil prices spiking.“If for any reason it is not, which is highly unlikely, then the ‘Shootin’ Starts,’ bigger, and better, and stronger than anyone has ever seen before,” Trump wrote. “It was agreed, a long time ago, and despite all of the fake rhetoric to the contrary—NO NUCLEAR WEAPONS and, the Strait of Hormuz WILL BE OPEN & SAFE.”
Investors will be closely monitoring the talks, with any indication of prolonged conflict potentially sending oil prices higher.
The shock will lead to higher oil prices and rising inflation expectations, Georgieva warned.
In an April 9 post, ING Bank said, “With a full reopening of the strait unlikely in the near term, oil prices are expected to remain supported, as disruptions linked to reduced output and refinery shutdowns will take time to unwind.”
Eric Nuttall, senior portfolio manager at investment management company Ninepoint Partners, said in an April 9 X post that Middle East oil production is already down by 13 million barrels per day, calling the reduction “unprecedented.”
“It will take at least 2 months once fully open to restore production. Over that time the world will lose 780MM Bbls,” he said.







