Biden leads Democratic Caucus Field in Nevada, Poll Shows

November 16, 2019 Updated: November 16, 2019

A new poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden with a lead in Nevada over fellow frontrunners Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).

The Fox News poll was conducted by Beacon Research and Shaw & Company from Nov. 10 to Nov. 13 among 1,056 Nevada voters, including 627 potential Democratic caucus voters.

Some 24 percent of respondents said they’d vote for Biden, versus 18 percent who said they support Sanders and 18 percent who said they’d vote for Warren.

South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg was fourth with 8 percent, followed by billionaire Tom Steyer with 5 percent, Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) with 4 percent, and entrepreneur Andrew Yang with 3 percent. No other candidate got over 2 percent.

Biden saw high support among whites and Hispanics, while Warren saw high white support but low support with Hispanics, the same as Buttigieg. Sanders saw much higher support among Hispanics than whites.

“Sanders is the clear choice for those under age 45, while those 45 and over go for Biden,” Fox stated.

The poll had a margin of error of plus/minus 4 percent for the Democratic caucus voters.

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Former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) in file photographs. (Alex Wroblewski/Getty Images; Scott Eisen/Getty Images; Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

The two previous polls in Nevada, both conducted from late October into November, also showed Biden on top.

Biden was backed by 29 percent of likely caucusgoers in a Nevada Independent poll, ahead of Warren and Sanders, who both received 19 percent support. No other candidate saw above 7 percent.

An Emerson Polling survey found Biden in the lead with 30 percent, ahead of Warren (22 percent) and Sanders (19 percent). No one else got over 5 percent.

Biden still leads in most national polls—with Warren sometimes being on top—and, according to the latest poll, appears slightly ahead in New Hampshire. He also has a strong lead in South Carolina, being ahead in double digits in each poll conducted there since early October, though none have yet been conducted this month.

Biden has struggled to get traction in the other early primary state, Iowa, with Warren and Buttigieg seeing leads in polls in the state.

Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina will hold the first primary votes in the nation in early 2020.

Iowa’s caucus is slated for Feb. 3; New Hampshire’s primary is scheduled for Feb. 11; Nevada’s caucus is slated to take place on Feb. 22; and South Carolina’s will happen on Feb. 29.

Those votes will be followed by Super Tuesday, which sees votes in over a dozen states, including Maine, California, Minnesota, and Texas.

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