What Is a Contested Convention and What Would One Mean for the GOP?

The possibility that the Republican primary race could end in a contested convention is a journalist’s dream and one that the media has speculated on during every electoral cycle in recent memory.
What Is a Contested Convention and What Would One Mean for the GOP?
Republican presidential candidates (L-R) Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and John Kasich participate in the Republican Presidential Debate at the University of Houston in Houston, Texas, on Feb. 25, 2016. Thomas B. Shea/AFP/Getty Images
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The possibility that the Republican primary race could end in a contested convention is a journalist’s dream and one that the media has speculated on during every electoral cycle in recent memory.

It was entertaining for those who cover politics as sport to imagine the fight between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton could still be unresolved by the time Democrats arrived in Denver in 2008, or the Republican candidate in 2012, Mitt Romney, being swamped on the Tampa convention floor by his multiple lesser challengers. In truth, it was never likely in either case.

But 2016 may be the year that the dream is finally realized at the Republican Party convention in Cleveland, Ohio, in July.

There is no precedent for this in the modern era. Since candidates began to be chosen through voter participation in primaries in the 1970s, the process of nominating presidential candidates at the formal convention has almost always been straightforward. The presumptive nominee arrives with a majority of delegates already pledged thanks to victories in the state-by-state contests. The first ballot among delegates then confirms their nomination. In recent times, losing candidates have even released their delegates to vote for the winner, adding to the sense of party unity.

Smoke-Filled Rooms

The last time a major party convention began without certainty as to the nominee was the Republican Party gathering in Kansas City in 1976, when incumbent president Gerald Ford, having received more delegates and votes in primaries, was close enough to need to wrangle uncommitted delegates to his side to narrowly see off his challenger Ronald Reagan.

Republican Party's contested convention in 1976 when Gerald Ford beat Ronald Reagan to the nomination. (<a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:1976_Republican_National_Convention-cropped_to_Reagan_and_Ford.jpg">William Fitz-Patrick, Public Domain</a>)
Republican Party's contested convention in 1976 when Gerald Ford beat Ronald Reagan to the nomination. William Fitz-Patrick, Public Domain
Adam Quinn
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