Opinion

West Could Sleepwalk Into a Doomsday War With Russia—It’s Time to Wake Up

Since the Ukraine crisis exploded into civil conflict and war in 2013, we have known that we live in troubled times.
West Could Sleepwalk Into a Doomsday War With Russia—It’s Time to Wake Up
Wearing the WWII-era Red Army uniform Russian soldiers stand at the Red Square in Moscow, on Nov. 5, 2013, during a rehearsal for a military parade. Vasily Maximov/AFP/Getty Images
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Since the Ukraine crisis exploded into civil conflict and war in 2013, we have known that we live in troubled times. It has become increasingly clear that the peace order in Europe, established at the end of the Cold War in 1989, is unstable. The arrangements made at that time appear to have generated more conflicts than they were able to resolve.

While the European Union claimed at certain points to be a peace project—and internally it has achieved much in that respect—all around the borders of the proposed “ring of friends,“ as the then European Commission President Romano Prodi put it in 2002, it is an ”arc of fire.” In North Africa, states have collapsed and the whole region is challenged once again to find an appropriate balance between security and democracy. The Middle East is the focus of several proxy wars piled upon each other in multiple layers.

The endless prolongation of sanctions and a rhetoric of violence and scapegoating creates an atmosphere where a small incident could easily spiral out of control.
Richard Sakwa
Richard Sakwa
Author
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