Weak US Jobs Growth Is Only Part of a Bigger Problem

On Friday the U.S. Labor Department will issue another mediocre jobs report.
Weak US Jobs Growth Is Only Part of a Bigger Problem
People looking for work stand in line to apply for a job during a job fair at the Miami Dolphins Sun Life Stadium, in Miami, Fla., on May 2, 2013. Joe Raedle/Getty Images
Peter Morici
Updated:

On Nov. 6 the U.S. Labor Department will issue another mediocre job report. Private forecasters estimate 190,000 jobs were created in October, well below the 260,000 averaged in 2014.

The White House will tout the economy is doing quite well and proclaim 61 consecutive months of job creation. Liberal commentators including New York Times columnist and CNBC analyst John Harwood may offer this as more proof the economy does better with a Democrat in the White House.

So much depends on the circumstances in which each president governs. For example, does his party control one or both the Senate and the House and, more important, what was the state of the economy bequeathed by his predecessor?

The best apples-to-apples comparison is the rather difficult conditions Presidents Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama inherited, and how the fortunes of America's families then progressed.
Peter Morici
Peter Morici
Author
Peter Morici, professor at the Robert H. Smith School of Business at the University of Maryland, is a recognized expert on economic policy and international economics. Previously he served as director of the Office of Economics at the U.S. International Trade Commission. He is the author of 18 books and monographs and has published widely in leading public policy and business journals including the Harvard Business Review and Foreign Policy. Morici has lectured and offered executive programs at more than 100 institutions including Columbia University, the Harvard Business School and Oxford University.
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