Turbulence Ahead for Chinese Stocks

The recent market rally may lead regulators to step in and put on the breaks.
Turbulence Ahead for Chinese Stocks
An investor walks past stock index a securities company in Wuhan, China, in this file photo. China's stock rally will likely see intense turbulence in the near future. China Photos/Getty Images
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The Shanghai Composite Index outpaced all major market performance over the last 12 months. Its 110 percent climb over that span has been a product of speculation, excessive leverage, and irrational exuberance defying economic fundamentals.

Incremental efforts by China’s securities regulator to cool off the stock market haven’t produced meaningful impact, leading some analysts to believe that more draconian intervention is in store.

Such action could rattle the markets and severely increase volatility going forward.

Most of the Shanghai Composite’s appreciation was achieved in the last six months, with a 91 percent gain. The rally is gaining momentum at a pace not seen since June 2005, when a similar advance preceded the late-2007 Shanghai stock market crash.

Fan Yu
Fan Yu
Author
Fan Yu is an expert in finance and economics and has contributed analyses on China's economy since 2015.
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