The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly Scenarios for China’s Economy

The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly Scenarios for China’s Economy
Chinese clerks chat as they wait for customers at a market in Beijing on Jan. 19, 2016. Kevin Frayer/Getty Images
Valentin Schmid
Updated:

The good news first. The slowdown in the Chinese economy and lower commodity prices mean more money for the consumer in the West.

“What happens to the overall world economy depends on whether the boost to income and spending of the consumer will outweigh the hit to the income and spending of the producers,” says Diana Choyleva, chief economist of Lombard Street Research.

While mining companies like Anglo American PLC and commodity traders like Glencore PLC are suffering, consumers are enjoying lower prices, especially regarding gasoline.

U.S. disposable income has gotten a boost from low commodity prices (St. Louis Fed)
U.S. disposable income has gotten a boost from low commodity prices St. Louis Fed
Valentin Schmid
Valentin Schmid
Author
Valentin Schmid is a former business editor for the Epoch Times. His areas of expertise include global macroeconomic trends and financial markets, China, and Bitcoin. Before joining the paper in 2012, he worked as a portfolio manager for BNP Paribas in Amsterdam, London, Paris, and Hong Kong.
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