The Best Case Scenario for China’s Transition and the World Economy

Valentin Schmid
Updated:

Diana Choyleva has covered China for Lombard Street Research pretty much since she left university more than a decade ago. Lombard had successfully predicted the Asian financial crisis in the late ‘90s and she personally foresaw China’s rise to a dominant global player at the start of the year 2000.

By the end of its ascendance, however, she argued China had come to the end of its export-led growth model, forecasting growth to average just 5 percent a year in this decade. 

Right now, the head of research and chief economist of Lombard is cognizant of China’s problems, but thinks a positive outcome for the world is possible under the right circumstances. A refreshing view. 

It's in the interest of the rest of the world if the Chinese stick with reform to allow this depreciation in the Yuan instead of fighting it.
Valentin Schmid
Valentin Schmid
Author
Valentin Schmid is a former business editor for the Epoch Times. His areas of expertise include global macroeconomic trends and financial markets, China, and Bitcoin. Before joining the paper in 2012, he worked as a portfolio manager for BNP Paribas in Amsterdam, London, Paris, and Hong Kong.
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