Nate Silver Warns Clinton’s Lead Is Slimmer than Expected

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton speaks at a rally at Reverend Samuel Delevoe Memorial Park in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., Tuesday, Nov. 1, 2016. AP Photo/Andrew Harnik

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• ‘Final’ Poll Shows Clinton Has 4-Point Lead Over Trump

“It’s wrong to show Clinton with a 6-point lead (as per HuffPo) when **almost no national poll shows that**. Doesn’t reflect the data,” he wrote.

The FiveThirtyEight model gives Clinton a 65.5 percent chance of winning, while Trump gets 34.5 percent.